Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.354054 0.419910 0.493500 0.581664 0.684254 0.799691 0.939258
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.270053 0.358026 0.466595 0.609749 0.792775 1.018104 1.315612
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.205434 0.296470 0.417574 0.589089 0.824120 1.133021 1.567524
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.172943 0.267602 0.401481 0.602372 0.893366 1.296161 1.891640
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.148495 0.244389 0.387519 0.613399 0.956680 1.453455 2.219685
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.125690 0.219054 0.365522 0.607613 0.991967 1.570999 2.498803
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.108289 0.199027 0.348067 0.605085 1.029705 1.693095 2.793162
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.098870 0.190618 0.347648 0.628868 1.110125 1.886456 3.213062
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.097891 0.196716 0.371972 0.696173 1.267919 2.215641 3.876802
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090488 0.189759 0.372331 0.721419 1.356124 2.437501 4.382024
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.079522 0.174225 0.355000 0.712478 1.382824 2.556970 4.723202
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066800 0.153136 0.324382 0.674900 1.353227 2.575204 4.888968
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056503 0.135774 0.299371 0.646328 1.339765 2.625227 5.124154
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053366 0.133476 0.304452 0.678068 1.445252 2.901818 5.796101
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045838 0.119943 0.284189 0.655305 1.440632 2.971648 6.088376
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042309 0.115153 0.281979 0.669968 1.512508 3.192717 6.684492
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.038980 0.110273 0.278863 0.682138 1.580116 3.410526 7.290838
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.034813 0.102531 0.268079 0.675752 1.607248 3.549070 7.750051
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.031364 0.096056 0.259372 0.672963 1.641649 3.704763 8.255358
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.029864 0.094644 0.262826 0.699207 1.743360 4.008661 9.088984
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.030858 0.100450 0.285122 0.773440 1.961427 4.575902 10.515102
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.029434 0.098986 0.288518 0.801271 2.073908 4.923223 11.496359
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.026470 0.092387 0.277502 0.791416 2.096007 5.073789 12.062853